Sunday, December 4, 2016

Posting by JI SOOGUEN - W14


Summary)


The development of demographic calculations began in the 18 century and most modern census began in the late 18 century.

Demography focuses on specific indicators of change. Typical examples of indicators are fertility and mortality. It also studies migration trends.

#Fertility and Fecundity


Fertility (birth rate) is how well a woman can give birth to a child. And Fecundity is a woman’s potential breeding capacity.

Replacement level fertility is the fertility rate for maintaining the existing population. This is usually 2.1 and there are many conditions that can predict the fertility rate. One of which is the education level of woman. Higher education levels generally lower fertility rates. Another factor is national development..
 

#Mortality


Mortality means death rate.

Recent studies have shown that education has a significant impact on lifespan. The higher level of education, the longer lifespan.

#Overpopulation


Overpopulation means that number of population exceeds the capacity of the earth. This is related to the amount of resources a person needs to live,, including water, food, shelter, and electricity.

The current population is growing by 80 million every year globally and is expected to stabilize in 2075 due to worldwide decline in fertility rates.

Supporters of population control say that the only problem of overpopulation is famine. They argue that without control, the population will grow to unsustainable level with natural population growth, which can lead to war and disease as well as epidemics.

There are several arguments for solving this.

Some say the overpopulation will be naturally solved. Critics say that in the meantime, many species will become extinct, will cause serious pollution in some areas, and will cause great pain for those who die in the solving process. Others say that economic development can reduce population growth.

#Population as a Function of Food Availability


Some scholars argue that the population varies with the ability of humans to supply food. This is supported by the agricultural revolution.

However, this theory also has problem. Birth rates are low in developed countries with high food supply capacities and low in developing countries with low food supply.

#Urbanization


Urbanization is the physical growth of the city. This is defined as urban population growth and urban migration. Urbanization is associated with modernization and industrialization.

People move to the city for economic reasons. In rural areas, people in rural areas move to cities because the economical conditions are not good and the size of the rural market is has been reduced in modern times. And city has cultural facilities such as movie theaters and theme parks that is not existing in rural areas.

Urbanization has a positive side, but there is a negative side too. One of negative side is about environment. Urban heat island problems arise due to urbanization, which has a negative impact on the living environment of residents. In addition, urbanization has caused many social problems, one of which is the lack of communication among neighbors.

In recent years, phenomenon called counter-urbanization has been arouse. Which is caused by the development of traffic and like, and is caused by the increase of crime in the city.

 

Mention & Question)


This content was what I learned at high school and middle school. But this writing was more intense because in some parts, it goes deeper.

As I read The Demographic Transition section of this writing, I have a question. Is there any reverse of the common demographic transition model?

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